Harvard Sports Analysis Collective

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Entries from December 2008

Chris Paul’s steal streak record (106 games)

December 18th, 2008 · 2 Comments

Chris Paul (New Orleans) just set the streak record for steals.  He “only” averaged 2.69 steals, so how did he avoid games with 0 steals?  If the Poisson distribution applies, mean 2.69 steals/game = 285 steals/106 games, he should have had about 7 games with no steals in 106 games. But he had none.  Zero!  […]

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Tags: Basketball · Carl Morris

Patriots’ playoff odds

December 15th, 2008 · 2 Comments

As you know, the Patriots “need help” in order to reach the playoffs, partly because they hold no tie breakers if they tie another contender in the standings.
If we assume NE beats Arizona (home) and Buffalo (away) they’ll be 11-5 (that’s no slam dunk, maybe around 50%?), what then is their chance […]

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Tags: Carl Morris · Football · New England Patriots